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      1991~2022年汉江上游安康段水文干旱演变特征研究

      Study on hydrological drought evolution characteristics in Ankang Reach of upper Hanjiang River from 1991 to 2022

      • 摘要: 为保障汉江上游水资源安全,采用标准化径流指数法,基于汉江上游主要控制工程安康水库1991~2022年入库径流量计算了标准化径流指数SRI,并结合风险指标(可靠性、弹性和脆弱性),构建水文干旱演变特征评估指标(SRI - RRV),评估汉江上游安康段水文干旱演变特征。结果表明:① 1991~2022年安康水库入库年径流量年际间波动较大,但是总体呈现较明显的增加趋势。②研究区未出现特旱情况,重旱仅出现1次,水文干旱以轻旱和中旱为主,其中轻旱95次,表明研究区存在一定的水文干旱风险。③研究区季节尺度下干旱化倾向程度降幅排序为冬>春>秋>夏。④水文干旱风险评价中,研究区2007~2022年可靠性、弹性总体较2006年之前有所增加,脆弱性较2006年之前有所降低,表明近年来汉江安康段水文干旱风险整体下降。⑤ 1991~2022年,研究区水文干旱综合评价结果等级以较差为主(19次),评价等级为较好的仅为1次,表明研究区水文干旱风险仍然不容忽视,需进一步加强水资源保护和管理以应对水文干旱带来的不利影响。

         

        Abstract: In order to ensure the water resource security of the upper Hanjiang River, Standardized Runoff Index(SRI) was used to calculate the runoff from 1991 to 2022 of Ankang Reservoir, the main control project of the upper Hanjiang River.Then combined with risk indicators (reliability, elasticity and vulnerability), the hydrological drought evolution characteristics assessment index (SRI-RRV) was constructed to evaluate the hydrological drought evolution characteristics of Ankang Reach of upper Hanjiang River.The results show that: ① The annual runoff of Ankang Reservoir fluctuated greatly from year to year during 1991 to 2022, but showed a relatively obvious increasing trend in general.② There was no special drought in the study area, except one severe drought occurred.The hydrological drought was mainly light and moderate drought, of which 95 were light drought, indicating that there was a certain risk of hydrological drought in the study area.③ At the seasonal scale, the decreasing order of the degree of drought tendency in the study area was winter > spring > autumn > summer.④ In the hydrological drought risk assessment of the study area, the reliability and resilience from 2007 to 2022 were generally increased compared with that before 2006, and the vulnerability was reduced compared with that before 2006, indicating that the hydrological drought risk of Ankang section in the Hanjiang River had decreased as a whole in recent years.⑤ From 1991 to 2022, the comprehensive evaluation results of hydrological drought in the study area were mainly poor (19 times), and the evaluation grade was good only once, indicating that the risk of hydrological drought in the study area still cannot be ignored, and it is necessary to further strengthen the protection and management of water resources to cope with the adverse effects of hydrological drought.

         

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