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      城市化对区域水文要素的影响研究:以郑州市为例(已首发)

      Study on the impact of urbanization on regional hydrological elements: a case study of Zhengzhou city

      • 摘要: 近年来城市化进程加快,城区建筑增多,地表硬化对区域水文要素演变造成一定的影响。聚焦城市化对郑州市区域水文要素的影响,为城市防洪规划和热岛效应缓解提供决策支持。以郑州市为研究区域,采用遥感技术结合实测资料,运用数理统计方法与相关性分析等方法,分析2000-2020年间郑州市土地利用变化规律以及城市化进程下降水与气温的变化规律。结果表明:①20年来郑州市的土地利用类型以耕地和建设用地为主,土地利用动态度中建设用地>水域>草地>林地>耕地,建设用地年均增加量为+59.59 km2/a,土地利用程度综合指数呈上升趋势。②城区及郊区的年最大日降水量、年降水量和年最大3日降水量三个降水指标均呈下降趋势,城郊区域差值皆大于0且为上升趋势,城区较郊区更易发生暴雨及以上量级降水。③年最高、最低气温皆为上升趋势;城区的日平均最高、最低气温均高于郊区;七月和一月的平均气温皆为上升趋势,城区较郊区增速更快。④20a来郑州市降水与土地利用程度均呈负相关,气温与土地利用程度均呈正相关。研究结果可为郑州市土地利用变化研究提供依据,为探究城市建设引起的水文要素变化规律提供科学参考。

         

        Abstract: In recent years, accelerated urbanisation and increased urban construction have led to surface hardening, exerting a certain influence on the evolution of regional hydrological factors. Focusing on the impact of urbanisation on regional hydrological factors in Zhengzhou, this study provides decision support for urban flood prevention planning and heat island mitigation. Taking Zhengzhou as the study area, remote sensing technology combined with field measurements, mathematical statistics, and correlation analysis were employed to examine land use changes and the relationship between urbanisation, precipitation, and temperature variations in Zhengzhou from 2000 to 2020. Results indicate: ① Over two decades, Zhengzhou's dominant land uses remained cultivated land and construction land. Construction land exhibited the highest dynamic intensity, followed by water bodies, grassland, forest land, and cultivated land. Construction land increased at an average annual rate of +59.59 km²/a, with the comprehensive land use intensity index showing an upward trend. ② Three precipitation indicators—annual maximum daily precipitation, annual precipitation, and annual maximum three-day precipitation—all exhibited declining trends in both urban and suburban areas. The difference between urban and suburban values remained positive and increasing, indicating greater susceptibility to heavy rainfall events in urban areas. ③ Annual maximum and minimum temperatures both showed upward trends; Urban areas exhibit higher daily average maximum and minimum temperatures than suburban areas. Average temperatures in July and January show increasing trends, with urban areas experiencing faster growth rates than suburban areas. ④ Over the past 20 years, precipitation and land use intensity in Zhengzhou City have shown negative correlations, while temperature and land use intensity have demonstrated positive correlations. These findings provide a basis for research on land use changes in Zhengzhou City and offer scientific reference for investigating the patterns of hydrological element changes induced by urban development.

         

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